Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slough Town win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slough Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-2 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Slough Town would win this match.
