SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 60.08%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 18.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.14%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Hungerford Town win it was 1-0 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Ebbsfleet in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hungerford Town | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
18.38% ( -0.08) | 21.54% ( 0.01) | 60.08% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 53.66% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.25% ( -0.16) | 43.75% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.86% ( -0.16) | 66.14% ( 0.16) |
| Hungerford Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.5% ( -0.18) | 37.5% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.72% ( -0.18) | 74.28% ( 0.18) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.85% ( -0.03) | 14.15% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.19% ( -0.06) | 41.81% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hungerford Town | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
| 1-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.41% Total : 18.38% | 1-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.53% | 0-1 @ 10.37% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 10.14% ( 0.05)1-2 @ 9.95% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.61% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 6.49% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 3.23% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 3.17% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.27% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.24% ( -0)Other @ 2.86% Total : 60.08% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 32 | 7 | 7 | 110 | 47 | 63 | 103 |
| 2 | DartfordDartford | 46 | 25 | 8 | 13 | 82 | 50 | 32 | 83 |
| 3 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 21 | 15 | 10 | 83 | 56 | 27 | 78 |
| 4 | Worthing | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 92 | 72 | 20 | 78 |
| 5 | Chelmsford CityChelmsford City | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 67 | 49 | 18 | 78 |
| 6 | St Albans CitySt Albans City | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 72 | 51 | 21 | 75 |
| 7 | Braintree TownBraintree | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 66 | 55 | 11 | 74 |
| 8 | Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne | 46 | 22 | 5 | 19 | 74 | 66 | 8 | 71 |
| 9 | Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 68 | 69 | -1 | 70 |
| 10 | Havant & WaterloovilleHavant & W'ville | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 80 | 70 | 10 | 69 |
| 11 | Bath City | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64 | 57 | 7 | 67 |
| 12 | Farnborough Town | 46 | 19 | 9 | 18 | 59 | 52 | 7 | 66 |
| 13 | Chippenham TownChippenham | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 62 |
| 14 | Taunton TownTaunton Town | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 61 |
| 15 | Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hempstead | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 60 |
| 16 | Welling UnitedWelling United | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 57 | 63 | -6 | 58 |
| 17 | Hampton & RichmondHampton | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 54 |
| 18 | Slough TownSlough | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 58 | 78 | -20 | 51 |
| 19 | Weymouth | 46 | 14 | 6 | 26 | 59 | 78 | -19 | 48 |
| 20 | Dover AthleticDover Athletic | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 48 |
| R | Dulwich HamletDulwich Hamlet | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 61 | 89 | -28 | 48 |
| R | Concord Rangers | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 45 | 85 | -40 | 44 |
| R | Cheshunt | 46 | 11 | 10 | 25 | 48 | 74 | -26 | 43 |
| R | Hungerford TownHungerford | 46 | 10 | 10 | 26 | 48 | 72 | -24 | 40 |
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