SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 51.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Halifax Town had a probability of 24.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Halifax Town win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Halifax Town |
51.39% ( 0.39) | 24.49% ( 0.19) | 24.12% ( -0.59) |
| Both teams to score 52.51% ( -1.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.63% ( -1.34) | 49.36% ( 1.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.59% ( -1.22) | 71.41% ( 1.21) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.8% ( -0.36) | 19.2% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.11% ( -0.6) | 50.88% ( 0.59) |
| Halifax Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.99% ( -1.24) | 35% ( 1.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.25% ( -1.33) | 71.75% ( 1.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Halifax Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.09% ( 0.48) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.29)3-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.05% Total : 51.39% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.36)2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.49% | 0-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.05% Total : 24.12% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 36 | 21 | 15 | 38 |
| 2 | Barnet | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 21 | 14 | 38 |
| 3 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 30 |
| 4 | Bromley | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 29 |
| 5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 27 |
| 6 | Gateshead | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 25 |
| 7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 24 |
| 8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
| 9 | Eastleigh | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 23 |
| 10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 22 |
| 11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 22 |
| 12 | Rochdale | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 20 |
| 13 | Woking | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
| 14 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 18 |
| 15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 17 |
| 16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 17 |
| 17 | Ebbsfleet | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 17 |
| 18 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 16 |
| 19 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 16 |
| 20 | York City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 15 |
| 21 | Oxford CityOxford City | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 14 |
| 22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 13 |
| 23 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 13 |
| 24 | Fylde | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 10 |
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