SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 46.36%. A win for Halifax Town had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.73%). The likeliest Halifax Town win was 1-0 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Halifax Town | Draw | Chesterfield |
27.14% ( -1.26) | 26.5% ( -0.37) | 46.36% ( 1.63) |
| Both teams to score 49.16% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.92% ( 0.74) | 55.08% ( -0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.66% ( 0.61) | 76.34% ( -0.6) |
| Halifax Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.45% ( -0.61) | 35.55% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.69% ( -0.64) | 72.32% ( 0.64) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.27% ( 1.11) | 23.73% ( -1.11) |
