SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 44.59%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.39%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fylde | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
44.59% ( -2.17) | 23.39% ( 0.56) | 32.02% ( 1.61) |
| Both teams to score 62.39% ( -1.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.9% ( -1.92) | 39.1% ( 1.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.57% ( -2.04) | 61.43% ( 2.05) |
| Fylde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.1% ( -1.58) | 17.9% ( 1.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.3% ( -2.8) | 48.7% ( 2.81) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76% ( 0.03) | 24% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.75% ( 0.04) | 58.25% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fylde | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
| 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.29)2-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.35)3-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.25)3-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.25)4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.28)4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.2)4-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.2)Other @ 3.81% Total : 44.59% | 1-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.41) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.38)3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.38% | 1-2 @ 7.53% ( 0.3) 0-1 @ 6.13% ( 0.54)0-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.39)1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.19)1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.87% Total : 32.02% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
| 2 | Barnet | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 42 |
| 3 | Bromley | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 35 |
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 34 |
| 5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
| 7 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 27 |
| 8 | Gateshead | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 26 |
| 9 | Rochdale | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 24 |
| 10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 23 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 23 |
| 12 | Woking | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
| 13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 22 |
| 14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 22 |
| 15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 21 |
| 16 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 21 |
| 17 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
| 18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
| 19 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 17 |
| 20 | Fylde | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 16 |
| 21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 16 |
| 22 | York City | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 16 |
| 23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 14 |
| 24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 14 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
