SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Fylde win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barnet | Draw | Fylde |
44.81% ( 0.09) | 25.17% ( 0.26) | 30.02% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 55.12% ( -1.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.81% ( -1.27) | 48.19% ( 1.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.65% ( -1.18) | 70.35% ( 1.18) |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.49% ( -0.49) | 21.51% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.43% ( -0.76) | 54.57% ( 0.75) |
| Fylde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.23% ( -0.88) | 29.77% ( 0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.16% ( -1.08) | 65.84% ( 1.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnet | Draw | Fylde |
| 1-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.46% Total : 44.81% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.33)2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 7.22% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.28% Total : 30.02% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
| 2 | Barnet | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 42 |
| 3 | Bromley | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 35 |
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 34 |
| 5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
| 7 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 27 |
| 8 | Gateshead | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 26 |
| 9 | Rochdale | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 24 |
| 10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 23 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 23 |
| 12 | Woking | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
| 13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 22 |
| 14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 22 |
| 15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 21 |
| 16 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 21 |
| 17 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
| 18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
| 19 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 17 |
| 20 | Fylde | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 16 |
| 21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 16 |
| 22 | York City | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 16 |
| 23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 14 |
| 24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 14 |
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