SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Altrincham | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
39.34% ( 1.32) | 25.06% ( -0.05) | 35.59% ( -1.27) |
| Both teams to score 57.4% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.93% ( 0.12) | 46.07% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.63% ( 0.11) | 68.37% ( -0.11) |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.78% ( 0.74) | 23.22% ( -0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.88% ( 1.07) | 57.12% ( -1.07) |
| Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.76% ( -0.65) | 25.24% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.01% ( -0.91) | 59.98% ( 0.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| Altrincham | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
| 2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.14% Total : 39.34% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.06% | 1-2 @ 8.11% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.24)1-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.16)1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.65% Total : 35.59% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 21 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 28 | 25 | 53 |
| 2 | Bromley | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 23 | 14 | 45 |
| 3 | Barnet | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 42 |
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 37 |
| 5 | Gateshead | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 47 | 27 | 20 | 36 |
| 6 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 36 |
| 7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 35 |
| 8 | Rochdale | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 35 | 5 | 33 |
| 9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 32 |
| 10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 30 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 30 |
| 12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 27 |
| 13 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 27 |
| 14 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 26 |
| 15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 22 | 15 | 25 |
| 16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 25 |
| 17 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 25 |
| 18 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 24 |
| 19 | York City | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 23 |
| 20 | Woking | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 22 |
| 21 | Ebbsfleet | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 22 |
| 22 | Oxford CityOxford City | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 21 |
| 23 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 19 |
| 24 | Fylde | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 18 |
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