SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 51.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 24.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for an Altrincham win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Maidenhead United | Draw | Altrincham |
51.16% ( 0.81) | 24.67% ( -0.22) | 24.17% ( -0.59) |
| Both teams to score 52.01% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.94% ( 0.41) | 50.05% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.97% ( 0.36) | 72.03% ( -0.36) |
| Maidenhead United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.43% ( 0.49) | 19.56% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.52% ( 0.79) | 51.48% ( -0.79) |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.66% ( -0.29) | 35.34% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.9% ( -0.3) | 72.1% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maidenhead United | Draw | Altrincham |
| 1-0 @ 11.27% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 5.21% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 5% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.92% Total : 51.15% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.67% | 0-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.05)Other @ 2% Total : 24.17% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
| 2 | Barnet | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 42 |
| 3 | Bromley | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 35 |
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 34 |
| 5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 27 |
| 7 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 27 |
| 8 | Gateshead | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 26 |
| 9 | Rochdale | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 24 |
| 10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 23 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 23 |
| 12 | Woking | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
| 13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 22 |
| 14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 21 |
| 15 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 21 |
| 16 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
| 17 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
| 18 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 19 |
| 19 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 17 |
| 20 | Fylde | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 16 |
| 21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 16 |
| 22 | York City | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 15 |
| 23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 14 |
| 24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 14 |
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