SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 36.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.09%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Altrincham | Draw | Hartlepool United |
36.93% ( -0.95) | 25.48% ( 0.37) | 37.59% ( 0.58) |
| Both teams to score 56.05% ( -1.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.14% ( -1.68) | 47.85% ( 1.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.96% ( -1.57) | 70.04% ( 1.57) |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.68% ( -1.29) | 25.32% ( 1.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.91% ( -1.8) | 60.09% ( 1.8) |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.05% ( -0.45) | 24.95% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.41% ( -0.63) | 59.59% ( 0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Altrincham | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 1-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.1)Other @ 1.73% Total : 36.93% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.43)2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.49) 1-2 @ 8.36% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.26)1-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.78% Total : 37.59% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 36 | 21 | 15 | 38 |
| 2 | Barnet | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 21 | 14 | 38 |
| 3 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 30 |
| 4 | Bromley | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 29 |
| 5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 27 |
| 6 | Gateshead | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 25 |
| 7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 24 |
| 8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
| 9 | Eastleigh | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 23 |
| 10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 22 |
| 11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 22 |
| 12 | Rochdale | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 20 |
| 13 | Woking | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
| 14 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 18 |
| 15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 17 |
| 16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 17 |
| 17 | Ebbsfleet | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 17 |
| 18 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 16 |
| 19 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 16 |
| 20 | York City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 15 |
| 21 | Oxford CityOxford City | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 14 |
| 22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 13 |
| 23 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 13 |
| 24 | Fylde | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 10 |
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