SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Altrincham in this match.
| Result | ||
| Altrincham | Draw | Aldershot Town |
44.07% ( -1.72) | 24.47% ( 0.2) | 31.45% ( 1.51) |
| Both teams to score 58.21% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.52% ( -0.2) | 44.47% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.16% ( -0.19) | 66.84% ( 0.18) |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.7% ( -0.82) | 20.3% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.33% ( -1.32) | 52.67% ( 1.32) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.04% ( 0.89) | 26.96% ( -0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.7% ( 1.16) | 62.3% ( -1.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Altrincham | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.3)3-1 @ 4.85% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.26)3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.87% Total : 44.07% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.47% | 1-2 @ 7.5% ( 0.25) 0-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.27)1-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.19)2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.17)1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.06% Total : 31.45% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
| 2 | Barnet | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 42 |
| 3 | Bromley | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 35 |
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 34 |
| 5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
| 7 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 27 |
| 8 | Gateshead | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 26 |
| 9 | Rochdale | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 24 |
| 10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 23 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 23 |
| 12 | Woking | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
| 13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 22 |
| 14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 22 |
| 15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 21 |
| 16 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 21 |
| 17 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
| 18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
| 19 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 17 |
| 20 | Fylde | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 16 |
| 21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 16 |
| 22 | York City | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 16 |
| 23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 14 |
| 24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 14 |
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