SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 62.43%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Wealdstone had a probability of 16.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Wealdstone win it was 0-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kidderminster Harriers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | Wealdstone |
62.43% ( 0.04) | 21.04% ( -0.01) | 16.53% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51.55% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.31% ( -0.02) | 44.69% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.94% ( -0.02) | 67.05% ( 0.02) |
| Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.27% ( 0.01) | 13.73% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.01% ( 0.01) | 40.99% ( -0.01) |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.76% ( -0.05) | 40.24% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.13% ( -0.05) | 76.87% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | Wealdstone |
| 1-0 @ 10.97% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.89% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.56% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.26% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.42% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.29% ( 0)Other @ 2.86% Total : 62.43% | 1-1 @ 9.99% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.04% | 0-1 @ 5.03% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.29% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.38% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 1.92% Total : 16.53% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
| 2 | Barnet | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 42 |
| 3 | Bromley | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 35 |
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 34 |
| 5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
| 7 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 27 |
| 8 | Gateshead | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 26 |
| 9 | Rochdale | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 24 |
| 10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 23 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 23 |
| 12 | Woking | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
| 13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 22 |
| 14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 21 |
| 15 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 21 |
| 16 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
| 17 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
| 18 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 19 |
| 19 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 17 |
| 20 | Fylde | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 16 |
| 21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 16 |
| 22 | York City | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 16 |
| 23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 14 |
| 24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 14 |
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