SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 69.15%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Wealdstone had a probability of 13.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.78%) and 3-1 (7.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.39%), while for a Wealdstone win it was 1-2 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Gateshead in this match.
| Result | ||
| Gateshead | Draw | Wealdstone |
69.15% ( -2.02) | 16.89% ( 0.58) | 13.96% ( 1.44) |
| Both teams to score 60.35% ( 2.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.69% ( 0.79) | 30.31% ( -0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.43% ( 0.95) | 51.56% ( -0.95) |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.05% ( -0.22) | 7.95% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 71.92% ( -0.56) | 28.08% ( 0.56) |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.56% ( 2.58) | 34.44% ( -2.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.85% ( 2.65) | 71.15% ( -2.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gateshead | Draw | Wealdstone |
| 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.78% ( -0.6)3-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.59)1-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.39)4-1 @ 5% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.43)3-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.26)4-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.14)5-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.25)5-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.05)6-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.04)6-0 @ 1% ( -0.12)4-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.95% Total : 69.15% | 1-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.36)0-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.19)Other @ 0.28% Total : 16.89% | 1-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.32) 0-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.2)Other @ 2.37% Total : 13.96% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
| 2 | Barnet | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 42 |
| 3 | Bromley | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 35 |
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 34 |
| 5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
| 7 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 27 |
| 8 | Gateshead | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 26 |
| 9 | Rochdale | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 24 |
| 10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 23 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 23 |
| 12 | Woking | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
| 13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 22 |
| 14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 22 |
| 15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 21 |
| 16 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 21 |
| 17 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
| 18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
| 19 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 17 |
| 20 | Fylde | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 16 |
| 21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 16 |
| 22 | York City | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 16 |
| 23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 14 |
| 24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 14 |
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