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National League | Gameweek 11
Sep 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Technique Stadium
W
Chesterfield
3 - 2
Wealdstone
Berry-McNally (54'), Mandeville (66'), Jacobs (68')
Grimes (47'), Jones (54')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ray Smith (34'), Adarkwa (90+6')
Barker (6'), Bowen (10'), Andrews (47'), Ferguson (69'), Ray Smith (73')
Coverage of the National League clash between Chesterfield and Wealdstone.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chesterfield 3-2 Halifax
Tuesday, September 19 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Dorking 3-1 Wealdstone
Tuesday, September 19 at 7.45pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 73.99%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Wealdstone had a probability of 10.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 3-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.18%), while for a Wealdstone win it was 1-2 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result
ChesterfieldDrawWealdstone
73.99% (0.0020000000000095 0) 15.55%10.46% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 53.59% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.71% (0.0010000000000048 0)33.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.95% (0.0019999999999953 0)55.05%
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.32% (0.0010000000000048 0)7.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.62% (0.0010000000000048 0)27.38%
Wealdstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.05% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)41.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.61% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)78.39% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    Chesterfield 73.98%
    Wealdstone 10.46%
    Draw 15.55%
ChesterfieldDrawWealdstone
2-0 @ 10.6%
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 9.08%
1-0 @ 8.26%
3-1 @ 7.89%
4-0 @ 5.83% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 5.06%
3-2 @ 3.43%
5-0 @ 2.99% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 2.6%
4-2 @ 2.2%
6-0 @ 1.28%
5-2 @ 1.13%
6-1 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 73.98%
1-1 @ 7.18%
2-2 @ 4%
0-0 @ 3.22%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 15.55%
1-2 @ 3.12%
0-1 @ 2.8%
0-2 @ 1.22%
2-3 @ 1.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 10.46%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Chesterfield 3-2 Halifax
Tuesday, September 19 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 0-1 Chesterfield
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Chesterfield 3-1 Dag & Red
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Aldershot 3-4 Chesterfield
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Chesterfield 3-2 Hartlepool
Monday, August 28 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Altrincham 2-1 Chesterfield
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Dorking 3-1 Wealdstone
Tuesday, September 19 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Wealdstone 0-0 Altrincham
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Wealdstone 2-1 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Hartlepool 2-1 Wealdstone
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Wealdstone 0-2 Dag & Red
Monday, August 28 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Aldershot 3-1 Wealdstone
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in National League
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Chesterfield17142143222144
2Barnet18133238221642
3Bromley18105328181035
4Solihull MoorsSolihull189722719834
5AltrinchamAltrincham177823123829
6Halifax TownHalifax177642016427
7Aldershot TownAldershot188373232027
8Gateshead1775536251126
9Oldham AthleticOldham185852627-123
10Eastleigh186572731-423
11Woking186482020022
12Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool177192731-422
13Southend UnitedSouthend1894534181621
14Rochdale175662827121
15Dorking WanderersDorking176382024-421
16Boreham WoodBoreham Wood184862025-520
17WealdstoneWealdstone185582025-520
18Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red185491824-619
19Ebbsfleet1852112334-1117
20Fylde1844102836-816
21Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead183781829-1116
22York City173682436-1215
23Oxford CityOxford City1835102436-1214
24Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster1835101224-1214
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