SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 42.87%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-0 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Kidderminster Harriers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
32.04% ( -0.28) | 25.08% ( 0.18) | 42.87% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 56.38% ( -0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.02% ( -0.9) | 46.98% ( 0.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.77% ( -0.84) | 69.23% ( 0.84) |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.18% ( -0.62) | 27.82% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.59% ( -0.8) | 63.41% ( 0.8) |
| Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.11% ( -0.33) | 21.89% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.85% ( -0.51) | 55.15% ( 0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
| 1-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.85% Total : 32.04% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 8.99% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 4.55% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.35% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.4% Total : 42.87% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
| 2 | Barnet | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 42 |
| 3 | Bromley | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 35 |
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 34 |
| 5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
| 7 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 27 |
| 8 | Gateshead | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 26 |
| 9 | Rochdale | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 24 |
| 10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 23 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 23 |
| 12 | Woking | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
| 13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 22 |
| 14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 22 |
| 15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 21 |
| 16 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 21 |
| 17 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
| 18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
| 19 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 17 |
| 20 | Fylde | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 16 |
| 21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 16 |
| 22 | York City | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 16 |
| 23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 14 |
| 24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 14 |
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