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National League | Gameweek 16
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Shay Stadium
Halifax
2 - 1
Kidderminster
Alli (28', 52')
Thompson-Sommers (70')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Morgan-Smith (33')
Robinson (10'), Hobson (68')
Coverage of the National League clash between Halifax Town and Kidderminster Harriers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ebbsfleet 0-2 Halifax
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Kidderminster 1-0 Wealdstone
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 46.38%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 26.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Kidderminster Harriers win it was 0-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Halifax Town would win this match.

Result
Halifax TownDrawKidderminster Harriers
46.38% (-0.221 -0.22) 27.04% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03) 26.58% (0.254 0.25)
Both teams to score 47.23% (0.275 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.62% (0.26300000000001 0.26)57.38% (-0.26 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.8% (0.208 0.21)78.2% (-0.20400000000001 -0.2)
Halifax Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.27% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)24.73% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.72% (0.012999999999998 0.01)59.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Kidderminster Harriers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.74% (0.361 0.36)37.26% (-0.358 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.96% (0.354 0.35)74.05% (-0.351 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Halifax Town 46.37%
    Kidderminster Harriers 26.58%
    Draw 27.04%
Halifax TownDrawKidderminster Harriers
1-0 @ 12.87% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 8.99% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
2-1 @ 8.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.19% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.04% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 46.37%
1-1 @ 12.71% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.21% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.38% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.04%
0-1 @ 9.1% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 6.27% (0.062 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.49% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.06% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.48% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.44% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 26.58%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 0-2 Halifax
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Woking 1-2 Halifax
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Halifax 2-3 Eastleigh
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Halifax 0-0 Dag & Red
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Barnet 0-0 Halifax
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Chesterfield 3-2 Halifax
Tuesday, September 19 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Kidderminster 1-0 Wealdstone
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Dorking 0-1 Kidderminster
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Kidderminster 1-2 Barnet
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Kidderminster 1-2 Oldham
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Eastleigh 2-1 Kidderminster
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Gateshead 3-0 Kidderminster
Tuesday, September 19 at 7.45pm in National League
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Chesterfield17142143222144
2Barnet18133238221642
3Bromley18105328181035
4Solihull MoorsSolihull189722719834
5AltrinchamAltrincham177823123829
6Halifax TownHalifax177642016427
7Aldershot TownAldershot188373232027
8Gateshead1775536251126
9Oldham AthleticOldham185852627-123
10Eastleigh186572731-423
11Woking186482020022
12Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool177192731-422
13Southend UnitedSouthend1894534181621
14Rochdale175662827121
15Dorking WanderersDorking176382024-421
16Boreham WoodBoreham Wood184862025-520
17WealdstoneWealdstone185582025-520
18Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red185491824-619
19Ebbsfleet1852112334-1117
20Fylde1844102836-816
21Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead183781829-1116
22York City173682436-1215
23Oxford CityOxford City1835102436-1214
24Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster1835101224-1214
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