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National League South | Gameweek 14
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Vauxhall Ground
BT
Hemel Hemps.
0 - 2
Braintree
 
FT(HT: 0-1)
Davies (25', 78')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and Braintree Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dover Athletic 2-2 Hemel Hemps.
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 2-0 Weston
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braintree Town win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braintree Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braintree Town would win this match.

Result
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawBraintree Town
34.88% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 26.43% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 38.69% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Both teams to score 52.66% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.88% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)52.11% (0.07 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.16% (-0.061 -0.06)73.84% (0.060999999999993 0.06)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.46% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)28.54% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.67% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)64.32% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Braintree Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.69% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)26.31% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.56% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)61.44% (0.086000000000006 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Hemel Hempstead Town 34.88%
    Braintree Town 38.69%
    Draw 26.43%
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawBraintree Town
1-0 @ 9.41% (0.023 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.9% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.29%
3-0 @ 2.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 34.88%
1-1 @ 12.57% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.51% (0.021 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 10.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.39% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.69% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.74% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.34% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.25% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.99% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 38.69%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Dover Athletic 2-2 Hemel Hemps.
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 3-3 Hemel Hemps.
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 3-2 Torquay Utd
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 1-1 Hemel Hemps.
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-2 Hemel Hemps.
Monday, September 4 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 0-0 Truro City
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 2-0 Weston
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 1-1 Bath City
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 1-1 Braintree
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 1-1 Farnborough
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 0-0 Braintree
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 4-0 Worthing
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League South
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Yeovil TownYeovil19133339241542
2Hampton & RichmondHampton2011453326737
3Maidstone UnitedMaidstone2010643022836
4Aveley2110473225734
5Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd2011183530534
6Bath City2096539271233
7Worthing1910363526933
8Chelmsford CityChelmsford City218852923632
9Braintree TownBraintree2086633221130
10Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels228683130130
11Farnborough TownFarnborough217863734329
12DartfordDartford208483327628
13Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hemps.197752322128
14Weston-super-MareWeston198382631-527
15Taunton TownTaunton Town176742121025
16Chippenham TownChippenham206772931-225
17St Albans CitySt Albans City2081112632-625
18Weymouth205872228-623
19Slough TownSlough186483331222
20Truro CityTruro City186482628-222
21Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne2255122741-1420
22Welling UnitedWelling United204792638-1219
23Dover AthleticDover Athletic2119112240-1812
24Havant & WaterloovilleHavant & W'ville2123162351-289
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