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National League South | Gameweek 13
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ironmongery Direct Stadium
Braintree
2 - 0
Weston
Blair (56'), Davies (70' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Braintree Town and Weston-super-Mare.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braintree 1-1 Bath City
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 0-3 Chelmsford City
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braintree Town win with a probability of 37.75%. A win for Weston-super-Mare had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braintree Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Weston-super-Mare win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braintree Town would win this match.

Result
Braintree TownDrawWeston-super-Mare
37.75% (-0.058 -0.06) 26.54% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 35.71% (0.074999999999996 0.07)
Both teams to score 52.38% (0.067 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.49% (0.080000000000005 0.08)52.5% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.82% (0.067 0.07)74.17% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Braintree Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.97% (0.0049999999999955 0)27.02% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.61% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)62.38% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Weston-super-Mare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.78% (0.082999999999998 0.08)28.22% (-0.086000000000002 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.08% (0.107 0.11)63.92% (-0.111 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Braintree Town 37.75%
    Weston-super-Mare 35.71%
    Draw 26.54%
Braintree TownDrawWeston-super-Mare
1-0 @ 9.98% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.26% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 6.53% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.6% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.85% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 37.75%
1-1 @ 12.62% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.63% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.54%
0-1 @ 9.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.99% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.1% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.37% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.57% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.2% (0.01 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.07% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 35.71%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Braintree 1-1 Bath City
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 1-1 Braintree
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 1-1 Farnborough
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 0-0 Braintree
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 4-0 Worthing
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 2-1 Braintree
Monday, August 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 0-3 Chelmsford City
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 0-1 Weston
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 1-1 Hampton
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 2-3 Yeovil
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 2-1 Weston
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 1-1 Hemel Hemps.
Monday, August 28 at 3pm in National League South
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Yeovil TownYeovil14102228161232
2Aveley16102426141232
3Hampton & RichmondHampton168352422227
4Bath City157442721625
5Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd158162622425
6Farnborough TownFarnborough156632719824
7Maidstone UnitedMaidstone146621913624
8Taunton TownTaunton Town156632019124
9Worthing147252220223
10DartfordDartford166462520522
11Chelmsford CityChelmsford City155731914522
12St Albans CitySt Albans City157172019122
13Braintree TownBraintree155642215721
14Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hemps.155642020021
15Chippenham TownChippenham155552222020
16Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels165471924-519
17Weymouth164661721-418
18Weston-super-MareWeston165382029-918
19Truro CityTruro City144462120116
20Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne164482229-716
21Slough TownSlough143472126-513
22Welling UnitedWelling United152671324-1112
23Dover AthleticDover Athletic151771629-1310
24Havant & WaterloovilleHavant & W'ville1513111634-186
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