SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Torquay United |
30.59% ( -0.06) | 26.68% ( -0.03) | 42.74% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 50.63% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.86% ( 0.07) | 54.14% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.44% ( 0.06) | 75.56% ( -0.06) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.59% ( -0.01) | 32.41% ( 0) |
