SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 40.26%. A win for Torquay United had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Torquay United win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Torquay United | Draw | Chelmsford City |
34.21% ( 0.01) | 25.53% ( -0) | 40.26% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 55.55% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.65% ( 0.01) | 48.35% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.51% ( 0.01) | 70.49% ( -0.01) |
| Torquay United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.87% ( 0.01) | 27.12% ( -0.01) |
