SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 1-0 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Weymouth | Draw | Chelmsford City |
34.72% ( 0.04) | 27.2% ( 0.01) | 38.08% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 50.18% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.75% ( -0.01) | 55.25% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.52% ( -0) | 76.48% ( 0.01) |
| Weymouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.82% ( 0.02) | 30.18% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.67% ( 0.03) | 66.33% ( -0.03) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.87% ( -0.03) | 28.13% ( 0.03) |
