SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-0 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Farnborough Town |
31.66% ( -0.01) | 26.79% ( 0.11) | 41.55% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 50.71% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
