SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 37.57%. A win for Farnborough Town had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Farnborough Town win was 1-0 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Chelmsford City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Farnborough Town | Draw | Chelmsford City |
34.72% ( -1.65) | 27.71% ( 0.81) | 37.57% ( 0.85) |
| Both teams to score 48.62% ( -2.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.8% ( -3.24) | 57.2% ( 3.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.95% ( -2.65) | 78.05% ( 2.65) |
| Farnborough Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.85% ( -2.64) | 31.15% ( 2.64) |
