MX23RW : Tuesday, May 2 19:47:26
SM
Tuesday, May 2
National League South | Gameweek 46
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
Chelmsford City
1 - 2
Taunton Town
Krasniqi (68' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sims-Burgess (10'), Lucas (49')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Taunton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 0-0 Chelmsford City
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 1-3 Weymouth
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 61.19%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Taunton Town had a probability of 17.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Taunton Town win it was 0-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Chelmsford CityDrawTaunton Town
61.19% (-0.342 -0.34) 21.28% (0.194 0.19) 17.52% (0.146 0.15)
Both teams to score 52.85% (-0.347 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56% (-0.609 -0.61)44% (0.608 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.61% (-0.596 -0.6)66.38% (0.595 0.59)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.11% (-0.298 -0.3)13.88% (0.297 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.7% (-0.591 -0.59)41.29% (0.59 0.59)
Taunton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.37% (-0.191 -0.19)38.62% (0.189 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.63% (-0.182 -0.18)75.36% (0.181 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Chelmsford City 61.19%
    Taunton Town 17.52%
    Draw 21.27%
Chelmsford CityDrawTaunton Town
1-0 @ 10.58% (0.16 0.16)
2-0 @ 10.45% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 6.88% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.55% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3.4% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.23% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.042 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.34% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.28% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 61.19%
1-1 @ 10.07% (0.103 0.1)
0-0 @ 5.36% (0.141 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.27%
0-1 @ 5.1% (0.108 0.11)
1-2 @ 4.79% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.43% (0.039 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.52%
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 17.52%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 0-0 Chelmsford City
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Cheshunt 1-2 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 5-1 Hungerford
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Oxford City 3-1 Chelmsford City
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 3-2 Farnborough Town
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 1-2 Chelmsford City
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 1-3 Weymouth
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 3-2 Worthing
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 0-3 Hungerford
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dulwich Hamlet 2-0 Taunton Town
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 0-1 Taunton Town
Thursday, April 13 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 2-1 Slough
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League South
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Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CEbbsfleet4632771104763103
2DartfordDartford462581382503283
3Oxford CityOxford City4621151083562778
4Worthing4622121292722078
5Chelmsford CityChelmsford City462391467491878
6St Albans CitySt Albans City462291572512175
7Braintree TownBraintree4620141266551174
8Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne46225197466871
9Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels462010166869-170
10Havant & WaterloovilleHavant & W'ville4619121580701069
11Bath City461910176457767
12Farnborough Town46199185952766
13Chippenham TownChippenham461517145766-962
14Taunton TownTaunton Town461710195055-561
15Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hempstead461515164957-860
16Welling UnitedWelling United461514175763-658
17Hampton & RichmondHampton46159225971-1254
18Slough TownSlough461312215878-2051
19Weymouth46146265978-1948
20Dover AthleticDover Athletic461212224268-2648
RDulwich HamletDulwich Hamlet46139246189-2848
RConcord Rangers46128264585-4044
RCheshunt461110254874-2643
RHungerford TownHungerford461010264872-2440
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