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Saturday, September 2
Previews and predictions index
National League South | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Clarence Park
W
St Albans City
2 - 1
Weymouth
Fage (35'), Rasulo (54')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bearwish (75')
Coverage of the National League South clash between St Albans City and Weymouth.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford City 4-0 St Albans City
Sunday, May 14 at 12.30pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-2 Weymouth
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weymouth win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for St Albans City had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Weymouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest St Albans City win was 1-0 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
St Albans CityDrawWeymouth
33.3% (-0.724 -0.72) 25.7% (0.131 0.13) 40.99% (0.595 0.59)
Both teams to score 54.74% (-0.631 -0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.7% (-0.732 -0.73)49.3% (0.733 0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.64% (-0.663 -0.66)71.35% (0.664 0.66)
St Albans City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.85% (-0.806 -0.81)28.15% (0.806 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.17% (-1.033 -1.03)63.83% (1.033 1.03)
Weymouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.18% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)23.82% (0.025000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.01% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)57.99% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Score Analysis
    St Albans City 33.3%
    Weymouth 40.99%
    Draw 25.7%
St Albans CityDrawWeymouth
1-0 @ 8.5% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 7.73% (-0.124 -0.12)
2-0 @ 5.39% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.27% (-0.129 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.28% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 33.3%
1-1 @ 12.19% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 6.7% (0.198 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.7%
0-1 @ 9.62% (0.278 0.28)
1-2 @ 8.75% (0.052999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.9% (0.195 0.2)
1-3 @ 4.18% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.3% (0.091 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.5% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.18% (0.032 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 40.99%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Oxford City 4-0 St Albans City
Sunday, May 14 at 12.30pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 1-1 St Albans City (3-5 pen.)
Sunday, May 7 at 12.30pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-1 St Albans City
Tuesday, May 2 at 7.30pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 2-0 Farnborough Town
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 2-1 St Albans City
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 3-0 Welling United
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-2 Weymouth
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 1-3 Weymouth
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 2-0 Slough
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hampton 2-1 Weymouth
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 1-0 Bath City
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 2-2 Weymouth
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League South
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