MX23RW : Saturday, April 29 19:48:22
SM
Saturday, April 29
W
National League South | Gameweek 43
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bob Lucas Stadium
Weymouth
1 - 0
Bath City
Bearwish (87' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Weymouth and Bath City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Havant & W'ville 2-2 Weymouth
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 0-2 Taunton Town
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weymouth win with a probability of 38.51%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Weymouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Bath City win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Weymouth in this match.

Result
WeymouthDrawBath City
38.51% (-0.197 -0.2) 25.72% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 35.76% (0.218 0.22)
Both teams to score 55.12% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.99% (0.097999999999999 0.1)49.01% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.91% (0.088000000000001 0.09)71.09% (-0.085000000000008 -0.09)
Weymouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.02% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)24.98% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.37% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)59.63% (0.089999999999996 0.09)
Bath City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.48% (0.175 0.17)26.52% (-0.171 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.28% (0.229 0.23)61.71% (-0.226 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Weymouth 38.51%
    Bath City 35.76%
    Draw 25.72%
WeymouthDrawBath City
1-0 @ 9.19% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.46% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.37% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.91% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.95% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.6% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 38.51%
1-1 @ 12.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.62% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.61% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 8.79% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.09% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.84% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.58% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.58% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.48% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 35.76%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 2-2 Weymouth
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 0-1 Eastbourne
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Cheshunt 1-0 Weymouth
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 3-2 Weymouth
Tuesday, March 21 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 2-1 Welling United
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 2-5 Hungerford
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 0-2 Taunton Town
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 1-0 Bath City
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 1-3 St Albans City
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 2-1 Dulwich Hamlet
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 2-3 Bath City
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 1-0 Hemel Hempstead
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
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Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CEbbsfleet4632771104763103
2DartfordDartford462581382503283
3Oxford CityOxford City4621151083562778
4Worthing4622121292722078
5Chelmsford CityChelmsford City462391467491878
6St Albans CitySt Albans City462291572512175
7Braintree TownBraintree4620141266551174
8Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne46225197466871
9Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels462010166869-170
10Havant & WaterloovilleHavant & W'ville4619121580701069
11Bath City461910176457767
12Farnborough Town46199185952766
13Chippenham TownChippenham461517145766-962
14Taunton TownTaunton Town461710195055-561
15Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hempstead461515164957-860
16Welling UnitedWelling United461514175763-658
17Hampton & RichmondHampton46159225971-1254
18Slough TownSlough461312215878-2051
19Weymouth46146265978-1948
20Dover AthleticDover Athletic461212224268-2648
RDulwich HamletDulwich Hamlet46139246189-2848
RConcord Rangers46128264585-4044
RCheshunt461110254874-2643
RHungerford TownHungerford461010264872-2440
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