SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weymouth win with a probability of 46.43%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Weymouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Welling United win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Weymouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Weymouth | Draw | Welling United |
46.43% ( -2.66) | 25.67% ( 0.2) | 27.9% ( 2.46) |
| Both teams to score 52.2% ( 1.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.62% ( 0.82) | 51.38% ( -0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.8% ( 0.71) | 73.2% ( -0.71) |
| Weymouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.88% ( -0.83) | 22.12% ( 0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.51% ( -1.28) | 55.49% ( 1.28) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.02% ( 2.43) | 32.97% ( -2.43) |
