SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weymouth win with a probability of 43.78%. A win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 30.25% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Weymouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Chippenham Town win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Weymouth | Draw | Chippenham Town |
43.78% ( -0.26) | 25.97% ( 0.08) | 30.25% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 52.66% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.55% ( -0.23) | 51.44% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.74% ( -0.21) | 73.25% ( 0.2) |
| Weymouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.62% ( -0.23) | 23.38% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.64% ( -0.33) | 57.36% ( 0.32) |
| Chippenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.73% ( 0.01) | 31.27% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.38% ( 0.01) | 67.61% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Weymouth | Draw | Chippenham Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.99% Total : 43.77% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.18% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.91% Total : 30.25% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ebbsfleet | 41 | 29 | 7 | 5 | 95 | 41 | 54 | 94 |
| 2 | DartfordDartford | 39 | 22 | 7 | 10 | 74 | 42 | 32 | 73 |
| 3 | Oxford CityOxford City | 41 | 19 | 14 | 8 | 73 | 48 | 25 | 71 |
| 4 | Chelmsford CityChelmsford City | 40 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 55 | 40 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | St Albans CitySt Albans City | 41 | 19 | 9 | 13 | 64 | 46 | 18 | 66 |
| 6 | Braintree TownBraintree | 41 | 17 | 13 | 11 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 64 |
| 7 | Farnborough Town | 39 | 18 | 9 | 12 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 63 |
| 8 | Worthing | 40 | 17 | 12 | 11 | 75 | 67 | 8 | 63 |
| 9 | Havant & WaterloovilleHavant & W'ville | 40 | 18 | 8 | 14 | 71 | 59 | 12 | 62 |
| 10 | Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne | 41 | 19 | 5 | 17 | 67 | 61 | 6 | 62 |
| 11 | Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels | 41 | 18 | 8 | 15 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 62 |
| 12 | Bath City | 40 | 16 | 10 | 14 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 58 |
| 13 | Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hempstead | 41 | 15 | 12 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 57 |
| 14 | Chippenham TownChippenham | 40 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 51 |
| 15 | Hampton & RichmondHampton | 40 | 13 | 8 | 19 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 47 |
| 16 | Dover AthleticDover Athletic | 40 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 40 | 55 | -15 | 47 |
| 17 | Welling UnitedWelling United | 40 | 11 | 13 | 16 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 45 |
| 18 | Slough TownSlough | 41 | 11 | 11 | 19 | 48 | 72 | -24 | 44 |
| 19 | Taunton TownTaunton Town | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 43 |
| 20 | Cheshunt | 40 | 10 | 10 | 20 | 45 | 64 | -19 | 40 |
| 21 | Dulwich HamletDulwich Hamlet | 40 | 11 | 6 | 23 | 56 | 86 | -30 | 39 |
| 22 | Hungerford TownHungerford | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 41 | 55 | -14 | 35 |
| 23 | Weymouth | 40 | 10 | 5 | 25 | 48 | 73 | -25 | 35 |
| 24 | Concord Rangers | 35 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 31 |
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