SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 63.77%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Weymouth had a probability of 16.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 1-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a Weymouth win it was 1-2 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Farnborough Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Farnborough Town | Draw | Weymouth |
63.77% ( 0.41) | 19.45% ( -0.06) | 16.79% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 57.71% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.13% ( -0.41) | 36.87% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.95% ( -0.45) | 59.05% ( 0.45) |
| Farnborough Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.02% ( -0.02) | 10.98% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 64.77% ( -0.03) | 35.23% ( 0.03) |
| Weymouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.83% ( -0.66) | 35.18% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.07% ( -0.7) | 71.93% ( 0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Farnborough Town | Draw | Weymouth |
| 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.18)1-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 7.25% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 4.01% 4-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.77% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.67% Total : 63.77% | 1-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.21% Total : 19.45% | 1-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 4.04% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.57% Total : 16.79% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ebbsfleet | 39 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 93 | 41 | 52 | 88 |
| 2 | DartfordDartford | 37 | 21 | 7 | 9 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 70 |
| 3 | Oxford CityOxford City | 39 | 18 | 13 | 8 | 67 | 46 | 21 | 67 |
| 4 | Chelmsford CityChelmsford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 65 |
| 5 | Braintree TownBraintree | 39 | 17 | 13 | 9 | 56 | 45 | 11 | 64 |
| 6 | Havant & WaterloovilleHavant & W'ville | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 62 |
| 7 | Worthing | 39 | 16 | 12 | 11 | 72 | 65 | 7 | 60 |
| 8 | Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels | 39 | 17 | 8 | 14 | 58 | 57 | 1 | 59 |
| 9 | St Albans CitySt Albans City | 37 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 58 |
| 10 | Bath City | 39 | 16 | 10 | 13 | 55 | 49 | 6 | 58 |
| 11 | Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne | 39 | 18 | 4 | 17 | 65 | 60 | 5 | 58 |
| 12 | Farnborough Town | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 54 |
| 13 | Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hempstead | 39 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 53 |
| 14 | Hampton & RichmondHampton | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 51 | 61 | -10 | 44 |
| 15 | Dover AthleticDover Athletic | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 44 |
| 16 | Slough TownSlough | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 46 | 66 | -20 | 43 |
| 17 | Chippenham TownChippenham | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 43 |
| 18 | Welling UnitedWelling United | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 42 |
| 19 | Dulwich HamletDulwich Hamlet | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 54 | 80 | -26 | 38 |
| 20 | Taunton TownTaunton Town | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 37 |
| 21 | Cheshunt | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 36 |
| 22 | Weymouth | 37 | 10 | 5 | 22 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 35 |
| 23 | Hungerford TownHungerford | 37 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 35 |
| 24 | Concord Rangers | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 32 | 58 | -26 | 31 |
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