SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 58.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Weymouth had a probability of 19.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Weymouth win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Albans City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Albans City | Draw | Weymouth |
58.18% ( 0.06) | 22.28% ( -0.03) | 19.54% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.26% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.7% ( 0.09) | 45.29% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.37% ( 0.09) | 67.63% ( -0.09) |
| St Albans City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.73% ( 0.05) | 15.26% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.04% ( 0.1) | 43.96% ( -0.1) |
| Weymouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.86% ( 0.02) | 37.14% ( -0.02) |
