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National League South | Gameweek 44
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
Clarence Park
St Albans City
3 - 0
Welling United
McConnell (7', 65'), Weiss (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between St Albans City and Welling United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-2 St Albans City
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 1-0 Eastbourne
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 58.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 19.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Welling United win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Albans City would win this match.

Result
St Albans CityDrawWelling United
58.47% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 22.37% (0.0020000000000024 0) 19.16% (0.040000000000003 0.04)
Both teams to score 52.33% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.78% (0.049000000000007 0.05)46.23% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.48% (0.043000000000003 0.04)68.52% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
St Albans City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)15.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.62% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)44.38% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.92% (0.07 0.07)38.09% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.15% (0.065999999999999 0.07)74.85% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    St Albans City 58.46%
    Welling United 19.16%
    Draw 22.37%
St Albans CityDrawWelling United
1-0 @ 11% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.25% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 6.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.97% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.97% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.87% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.39% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 58.46%
1-1 @ 10.62%
0-0 @ 5.9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.78% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.37%
0-1 @ 5.7%
1-2 @ 5.13% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.75% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.65% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.54% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 19.16%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-2 St Albans City
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 0-2 Braintree
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 1-1 St Albans City
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 2-0 Havant & W'ville
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 1-0 Dover Athletic
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 1-1 Cheshunt
Tuesday, March 21 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 1-0 Eastbourne
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-0 Welling United
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 3-2 Welling United
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 1-0 Bath City
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 0-1 Taunton Town
Tuesday, March 21 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 2-1 Welling United
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League South
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Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CEbbsfleet4632771104763103
2DartfordDartford462581382503283
3Oxford CityOxford City4621151083562778
4Worthing4622121292722078
5Chelmsford CityChelmsford City462391467491878
6St Albans CitySt Albans City462291572512175
7Braintree TownBraintree4620141266551174
8Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne46225197466871
9Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels462010166869-170
10Havant & WaterloovilleHavant & W'ville4619121580701069
11Bath City461910176457767
12Farnborough Town46199185952766
13Chippenham TownChippenham461517145766-962
14Taunton TownTaunton Town461710195055-561
15Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hempstead461515164957-860
16Welling UnitedWelling United461514175763-658
17Hampton & RichmondHampton46159225971-1254
18Slough TownSlough461312215878-2051
19Weymouth46146265978-1948
20Dover AthleticDover Athletic461212224268-2648
RDulwich HamletDulwich Hamlet46139246189-2848
RConcord Rangers46128264585-4044
RCheshunt461110254874-2643
RHungerford TownHungerford461010264872-2440
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