SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 46.32%. A win for Havant & Waterlooville had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Havant & Waterlooville win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Havant & Waterlooville |
46.32% ( 0.04) | 25.73% ( 0.06) | 27.95% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 52.03% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.37% ( -0.31) | 51.62% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.58% ( -0.27) | 73.41% ( 0.26) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.73% ( -0.11) | 22.27% ( 0.11) |
