SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 48.31%. A win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Concord Rangers win was 1-0 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Havant & Waterlooville would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Concord Rangers | Draw | Havant & Waterlooville |
27.47% ( 0.22) | 24.21% ( 0.03) | 48.31% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 56.56% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.49% ( 0.01) | 45.5% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.16% ( 0.01) | 67.83% ( -0.02) |
| Concord Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.77% ( 0.17) | 30.22% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.61% ( 0.2) | 66.39% ( -0.21) |
| Havant & Waterlooville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.07% ( -0.1) | 18.92% ( 0.09) |
