Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 57.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 18.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.9%) and 1-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Welling United win it was 1-0 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
Result | ||
Welling United | Draw | Chelmsford City |
18.95% ( 0.05) | 23.42% ( -0.02) | 57.62% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 48.73% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.16% ( 0.16) | 50.84% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.28% ( 0.14) | 72.72% ( -0.14) |
Welling United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59% ( 0.15) | 41% ( -0.15) |