SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 64.99%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 14.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Welling United win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Welling United |
64.99% ( 0.08) | 20.18% ( -0.05) | 14.83% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.44% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
