SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 55.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Braintree Town had a probability of 20.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Braintree Town win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Braintree Town |
55.44% ( 0.01) | 23.74% ( 0.01) | 20.81% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.65% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.23% ( -0.05) | 49.77% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.22% ( -0.05) | 71.78% ( 0.05) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.19% ( -0.02) | 17.81% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.46% ( -0.03) | 48.53% ( 0.03) |
| Braintree Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.62% ( -0.05) | 38.38% ( 0.05) |
