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National League South | Gameweek 19
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Bob Lucas Stadium
BT
Weymouth
1 - 0
Braintree
Matsuzaka (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Weymouth and Braintree Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Albans City 3-2 Weymouth
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 4-1 Braintree
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weymouth win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Braintree Town had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Weymouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Braintree Town win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Weymouth in this match.

Result
WeymouthDrawBraintree Town
45.03% (-0.276 -0.28) 24.95% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 30.02% (0.248 0.25)
Both teams to score 55.85% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.76% (0.00099999999999767 0)47.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.54% (0.0019999999999989 0)69.47% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Weymouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.98% (-0.121 -0.12)21.02% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.2% (-0.189 -0.19)53.8% (0.191 0.19)
Braintree Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.71% (0.173 0.17)29.29% (-0.171 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.75% (0.21100000000001 0.21)65.25% (-0.20899999999999 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Weymouth 45.03%
    Braintree Town 30.02%
    Draw 24.95%
WeymouthDrawBraintree Town
1-0 @ 9.6% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.49% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.78% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.89% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.86% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 45.03%
1-1 @ 11.79% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.16% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.65% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.95%
0-1 @ 7.56% (0.036 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.24% (0.042 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.64% (0.044 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.96% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.9% (0.027 0.03)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 30.02%

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Form Guide
Last Game: St Albans City 3-2 Weymouth
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 1-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Dartford 3-0 Weymouth
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 0-1 Farnborough Town
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Slough 2-3 Weymouth
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 5-1 Weymouth
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 4-1 Braintree
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hampton 0-3 Braintree
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 4-1 Welling United
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 1-2 Braintree
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 2-1 Worthing
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 3-1 Braintree
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in National League South
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Yeovil TownYeovil26185350272359
2Worthing27144957411646
3Hampton & RichmondHampton2613764235746
4Maidstone UnitedMaidstone2713773933646
5Chelmsford CityChelmsford City26128641271444
6Bath City27118846331341
7Aveley27125104034641
8Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd25132104338541
9St Albans CitySt Albans City27132124343041
10Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hemps.28117103637-140
11Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels28108104038238
12Braintree TownBraintree2610793831737
13Slough TownSlough26106104842636
14Farnborough TownFarnborough279994446-236
15DartfordDartford2797114041-134
16Truro CityTruro City24104103536-134
17Chippenham TownChippenham268993637-133
18Weston-super-MareWeston2595114044-432
19Weymouth2771193540-532
20Taunton TownTaunton Town247982935-630
21Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne2866163253-2124
22Welling UnitedWelling United2649133051-2121
23Havant & WaterloovilleHavant & W'ville2763183456-2221
24Dover AthleticDover Athletic27212132747-2018
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