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National League South | Gameweek 22
Dec 6, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Park View Road
Welling United
1 - 2
Farnborough Town
Payne (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kasimu (27'), Pendlebury (90+3')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Welling United and Farnborough Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bath City 1-1 Welling United
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 2-2 Hampton
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Welling United win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Farnborough Town in this match.

Result
Welling UnitedDrawFarnborough Town
31.34% (0.11 0.11) 23.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 44.73% (-0.102 -0.1)
Both teams to score 60.1% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.02% (0.084000000000003 0.08)41.97% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.62% (0.084000000000003 0.08)64.37% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.19% (0.111 0.11)25.8% (-0.11 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.23% (0.148 0.15)60.76% (-0.148 -0.15)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)19% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.45% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)50.55% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Welling United 31.34%
    Farnborough Town 44.73%
    Draw 23.92%
Welling UnitedDrawFarnborough Town
2-1 @ 7.47% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.64% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 4.5% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.37% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.03% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 31.34%
1-1 @ 11.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.2% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.9% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.92%
1-2 @ 9.16% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.14% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.76% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 5.07% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.74% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.55% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.43% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 44.73%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Bath City 1-1 Welling United
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 1-2 Weymouth
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-1 Welling United
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 0-0 Slough
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 5-1 Welling United
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 1-0 Hungerford
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 2-2 Hampton
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League South
Last Game: Wrexham 4-1 Farnborough Town
Saturday, November 26 at 3.15pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Braintree 0-0 Farnborough Town
Tuesday, November 15 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 3-1 Dartford
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 0-0 Eastbourne
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Sutton 0-2 Farnborough Town
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Yeovil TownYeovil26185350272359
2Worthing27144957411646
3Hampton & RichmondHampton2613764235746
4Maidstone UnitedMaidstone2713773933646
5Chelmsford CityChelmsford City26128641271444
6Bath City27118846331341
7Aveley27125104034641
8Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd25132104338541
9St Albans CitySt Albans City27132124343041
10Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hemps.28117103637-140
11Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels28108104038238
12Braintree TownBraintree2610793831737
13Slough TownSlough26106104842636
14Farnborough TownFarnborough279994446-236
15DartfordDartford2797114041-134
16Truro CityTruro City24104103536-134
17Chippenham TownChippenham268993637-133
18Weston-super-MareWeston2595114044-432
19Weymouth2771193540-532
20Taunton TownTaunton Town247982935-630
21Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne2866163253-2124
22Welling UnitedWelling United2649133051-2121
23Havant & WaterloovilleHavant & W'ville2763183456-2221
24Dover AthleticDover Athletic27212132747-2018
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