SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 59.12%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 17.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
59.12% ( -0.41) | 23.77% ( 0.32) | 17.11% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 44.56% ( -0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.3% ( -1.02) | 54.69% ( 1.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.98% ( -0.85) | 76.02% ( 0.85) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.72% ( -0.53) | 18.27% ( 0.53) |
