SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 52.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 23.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
52.17% ( -0) | 24.19% ( 0) | 23.63% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 52.89% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
