SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 43.16%. A win for Cheshunt had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Cheshunt win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Cheshunt |
43.16% ( 0.02) | 25.35% ( 0.01) | 31.48% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.24% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.64% ( -0.04) | 48.36% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.49% ( -0.03) | 70.5% ( 0.03) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.65% ( -0.01) | 22.35% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.16% ( -0.01) | 55.83% ( 0.01) |
| Cheshunt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.13% ( -0.04) | 28.86% ( 0.03) |
