Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slough Town win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slough Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Slough Town | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
41.25% ( -0.11) | 25.54% ( -0.02) | 33.2% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 55.24% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.36% ( 0.13) | 48.64% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.24% ( 0.11) | 70.75% ( -0.12) |
Slough Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.6% ( 0) | 23.39% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.62% ( 0) | 57.38% ( -0.01) |
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.11% ( 0.14) | 27.89% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.5% ( 0.18) | 63.5% ( -0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Slough Town | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
1-0 @ 9.48% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.26% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 41.25% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 33.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ebbsfleet | 41 | 29 | 7 | 5 | 95 | 41 | 54 | 94 |
2 | DartfordDartford | 39 | 22 | 7 | 10 | 74 | 42 | 32 | 73 |
3 | Oxford CityOxford City | 41 | 19 | 14 | 8 | 73 | 48 | 25 | 71 |
4 | Chelmsford CityChelmsford City | 40 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 55 | 40 | 15 | 68 |
5 | St Albans CitySt Albans City | 41 | 19 | 9 | 13 | 64 | 46 | 18 | 66 |
6 | Braintree TownBraintree | 41 | 17 | 13 | 11 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 64 |
7 | Farnborough Town | 39 | 18 | 9 | 12 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 63 |
8 | Worthing | 40 | 17 | 12 | 11 | 75 | 67 | 8 | 63 |
9 | Havant & WaterloovilleHavant & W'ville | 40 | 18 | 8 | 14 | 71 | 59 | 12 | 62 |
10 | Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne | 41 | 19 | 5 | 17 | 67 | 61 | 6 | 62 |
11 | Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels | 41 | 18 | 8 | 15 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 62 |
12 | Bath City | 40 | 16 | 10 | 14 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 58 |
13 | Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hempstead | 41 | 15 | 12 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 57 |
14 | Chippenham TownChippenham | 40 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 51 |
15 | Hampton & RichmondHampton | 40 | 13 | 8 | 19 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 47 |
16 | Dover AthleticDover Athletic | 40 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 40 | 55 | -15 | 47 |
17 | Welling UnitedWelling United | 40 | 11 | 13 | 16 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 45 |
18 | Slough TownSlough | 41 | 11 | 11 | 19 | 48 | 72 | -24 | 44 |
19 | Taunton TownTaunton Town | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 43 |
20 | Cheshunt | 40 | 10 | 10 | 20 | 45 | 64 | -19 | 40 |
21 | Dulwich HamletDulwich Hamlet | 40 | 11 | 6 | 23 | 56 | 86 | -30 | 39 |
22 | Hungerford TownHungerford | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 41 | 55 | -14 | 35 |
23 | Weymouth | 40 | 10 | 5 | 25 | 48 | 73 | -25 | 35 |
24 | Concord Rangers | 35 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 31 |
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