SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chippenham Town win with a probability of 50.17%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Slough Town had a probability of 24.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chippenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Slough Town win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chippenham Town | Draw | Slough Town |
50.17% ( -1.63) | 25.04% ( 0.73) | 24.79% ( 0.89) |
| Both teams to score 51.52% ( -1.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.98% ( -2.21) | 51.01% ( 2.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.12% ( -1.97) | 72.88% ( 1.97) |
| Chippenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.65% ( -1.52) | 20.34% ( 1.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.26% ( -2.48) | 52.74% ( 2.48) |
| Slough Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.68% ( -0.42) | 35.32% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.92% ( -0.44) | 72.07% ( 0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chippenham Town | Draw | Slough Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.44% ( 0.47) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 9.11% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.03% ( -0.34)3-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.26)3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.21)4-1 @ 2% ( -0.24)4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.2)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.68% Total : 50.17% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.35) 0-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.62)2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.03% | 0-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.56) 1-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.25)1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.01% Total : 24.79% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ebbsfleet | 42 | 30 | 7 | 5 | 98 | 41 | 57 | 97 |
| 2 | DartfordDartford | 40 | 22 | 7 | 11 | 75 | 44 | 31 | 73 |
| 3 | Oxford CityOxford City | 42 | 19 | 14 | 9 | 73 | 51 | 22 | 71 |
| 4 | Chelmsford CityChelmsford City | 41 | 21 | 8 | 12 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 71 |
| 5 | Braintree TownBraintree | 42 | 18 | 13 | 11 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 67 |
| 6 | St Albans CitySt Albans City | 42 | 19 | 9 | 14 | 64 | 48 | 16 | 66 |
| 7 | Worthing | 41 | 18 | 12 | 11 | 82 | 67 | 15 | 66 |
| 8 | Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne | 42 | 20 | 5 | 17 | 69 | 62 | 7 | 65 |
| 9 | Havant & WaterloovilleHavant & W'ville | 41 | 18 | 9 | 14 | 73 | 61 | 12 | 63 |
| 10 | Farnborough Town | 41 | 18 | 9 | 14 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 63 |
| 11 | Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels | 42 | 18 | 9 | 15 | 63 | 65 | -2 | 63 |
| 12 | Bath City | 41 | 16 | 10 | 15 | 55 | 52 | 3 | 58 |
| 13 | Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hempstead | 42 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 58 |
| 14 | Chippenham TownChippenham | 42 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 51 | 62 | -11 | 54 |
| 15 | Hampton & RichmondHampton | 41 | 14 | 8 | 19 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 50 |
| 16 | Taunton TownTaunton Town | 39 | 13 | 10 | 16 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 49 |
| 17 | Dover AthleticDover Athletic | 41 | 12 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 55 | -15 | 48 |
| 18 | Slough TownSlough | 42 | 12 | 11 | 19 | 54 | 73 | -19 | 47 |
| 19 | Welling UnitedWelling United | 41 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 46 |
| 20 | Dulwich HamletDulwich Hamlet | 41 | 12 | 6 | 23 | 57 | 86 | -29 | 42 |
| 21 | Cheshunt | 41 | 10 | 10 | 21 | 45 | 65 | -20 | 40 |
| 22 | Weymouth | 41 | 10 | 6 | 25 | 50 | 75 | -25 | 36 |
| 23 | Hungerford TownHungerford | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 41 | 57 | -16 | 35 |
| 24 | Concord Rangers | 37 | 8 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 71 | -38 | 31 |
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