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National League South | Gameweek 13
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Perrys Crabble Stadium
Dover Athletic
2 - 2
Hemel Hemps.
Dembele (21'), Sutherland (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Williams (74'), Matthews (90+7' pen.)
T. (22')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Dover Athletic and Hemel Hempstead Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dover Athletic 2-2 Taunton Town
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 3-3 Hemel Hemps.
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dover Athletic win with a probability of 37.39%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 36.64% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dover Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Dover AthleticDrawHemel Hempstead Town
37.39% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 25.97% (0.00099999999999767 0) 36.64% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.34% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.97% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)50.03% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)72.01% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)26.07% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.89% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)61.11% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.5% (0.010000000000005 0.01)26.5% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.31% (0.012 0.01)61.68% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Dover Athletic 37.39%
    Hemel Hempstead Town 36.64%
    Draw 25.97%
Dover AthleticDrawHemel Hempstead Town
1-0 @ 9.29% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 8.29% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 6.24% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.8% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.47%
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 37.39%
1-1 @ 12.33%
0-0 @ 6.91%
2-2 @ 5.51% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 9.17% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-2 @ 8.19% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 6.09% (0.0029999999999992 0)
1-3 @ 3.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.7% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.44% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 36.64%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Dover Athletic 2-2 Taunton Town
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 2-2 Dover Athletic
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-3 Weymouth
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 2-0 Dover Athletic
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-1 Chippenham
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 2-0 Dover Athletic
Monday, August 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 3-3 Hemel Hemps.
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 3-2 Torquay Utd
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 1-1 Hemel Hemps.
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-2 Hemel Hemps.
Monday, September 4 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 0-0 Truro City
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 1-1 Hemel Hemps.
Monday, August 28 at 3pm in National League South
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Yeovil TownYeovil14102228161232
2Aveley16102426141232
3Hampton & RichmondHampton168352422227
4Bath City157442721625
5Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd158162622425
6Farnborough TownFarnborough156632719824
7Maidstone UnitedMaidstone146621913624
8Taunton TownTaunton Town156632019124
9Worthing147252220223
10DartfordDartford166462520522
11Chelmsford CityChelmsford City155731914522
12St Albans CitySt Albans City157172019122
13Braintree TownBraintree155642215721
14Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hemps.155642020021
15Chippenham TownChippenham155552222020
16Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels165471924-519
17Weymouth164661721-418
18Weston-super-MareWeston165382029-918
19Truro CityTruro City144462120116
20Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne164482229-716
21Slough TownSlough143472126-513
22Welling UnitedWelling United152671324-1112
23Dover AthleticDover Athletic151771629-1310
24Havant & WaterloovilleHavant & W'ville1513111634-186
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