SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
40.71% ( -0.01) | 26.97% ( 0.01) | 32.32% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 50.39% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.25% ( -0.03) | 54.75% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.93% ( -0.03) | 76.06% ( 0.02) |
| Tonbridge Angels Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.57% ( -0.02) | 26.43% ( 0.01) |
