Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
