Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weymouth win with a probability of 50.76%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 25.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Weymouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 1-0 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Weymouth would win this match.
-0.15) 
0.02) 
