SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braintree Town win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braintree Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Braintree Town |
33.05% ( -3.38) | 26.51% ( -0.44) | 40.45% ( 3.82) |
| Both teams to score 52.04% ( 0.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.26% ( 1.4) | 52.74% ( -1.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.63% ( 1.18) | 74.37% ( -1.18) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.99% ( -1.43) | 30.01% ( 1.43) |
