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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 73.75%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 10.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.96%) and 3-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.69%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (3.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
73.75% ( 0.02) | 16.23% ( -0.01) | 10.01% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.98% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.77% ( 0) | 38.22% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.49% ( 0) | 60.5% ( -0) |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.08% ( 0) | 8.92% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 69.52% ( 0.01) | 30.47% ( -0.01) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.78% ( -0.02) | 46.22% ( 0.02) |
