SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
41.07% ( 0.19) | 25.33% ( 0.13) | 33.6% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 56.08% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.39% ( -0.64) | 47.61% ( 0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.19% ( -0.59) | 69.81% ( 0.59) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.97% ( -0.19) | 23.03% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.15% ( -0.27) | 56.85% ( 0.27) |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.86% ( -0.5) | 27.14% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.46% ( -0.65) | 62.54% ( 0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
| 1-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.14% Total : 41.07% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.33% | 0-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.03% Total : 33.6% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 37 | 28 | 5 | 4 | 94 | 32 | 62 | 89 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 37 | 25 | 6 | 6 | 83 | 43 | 40 | 81 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 37 | 22 | 6 | 9 | 56 | 42 | 14 | 72 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 37 | 19 | 13 | 5 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 70 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 71 | 43 | 28 | 66 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 62 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 37 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 58 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 66 | 62 | 4 | 57 |
| 9 | Brentford | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 56 |
| 10 | Fulham | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 54 | 51 | 3 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 44 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 43 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 53 | -22 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 41 | 53 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 37 | 67 | -30 | 37 |
| 17 | Everton | 37 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 33 | 57 | -24 | 33 |
| 18 | Leicester CityLeicester | 37 | 8 | 7 | 22 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 31 |
| 19 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 47 | 74 | -27 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 37 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 32 | 69 | -37 | 24 |
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