SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 56.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
56.3% ( -1.01) | 22.6% ( 0.35) | 21.1% ( 0.66) |
| Both teams to score 54.72% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.43% ( -0.7) | 44.57% ( 0.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.07% ( -0.68) | 66.94% ( 0.68) |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.36% ( -0.58) | 15.64% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.34% ( -1.08) | 44.66% ( 1.08) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.86% ( 0.25) | 35.14% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.11% ( 0.26) | 71.89% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 1-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 9.46% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.5% Total : 56.3% | 1-1 @ 10.66% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.59% | 0-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.97% Total : 21.1% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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